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In
this project, democracy is considered as a latent variable that can
be measured only by studying its indicators that are observable to
us. In other words, we cannot observe or measure democracy directly.
But, democracy’s indicators such as elections are observable and
can be measured directly. Therefore, in this project, we will build
a latent variable model to estimate democracy rating from its
indicators.
f(measure |
indicators) = f(measure) * f(indicator | measure) / f
(indicators)
Our
democracy rating will take a 0~100 scale for this project, in order
to be sensitive to any minor progress toward democracy. Therefore,
for our special application of measuring Chinese democracy,
some small amount of democratic progress in China can be reflected in our 0-100 scale
rating. But, these small
progresses will not make
China’s rating to be changed in a 0-5 or 0-7 scale.
For
our special application project, besides
a general measurement of China’s democratic progress, we also plan
to measure the most important individual dimensions including local
election, economic freedom, press freedom, religious freedom, civil
society, rule of law, and openness of national governance. By doing
so, a more complete picture of China’s political changes can be
captured by our rating and reports.
A
complete list of our indicators is available to our partners.
Click
here for references on measuring democracy
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